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Do I really want more HEXA? And TELIA?

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A brave new month and brave new cash to burn (or invest). Illustrated below, are the ParaTopia investments as of August. Corresponding to the following units bought today:  ATCO-A.ST = 4, ERIC-B.ST = 1, HEXA-B.ST = 8, HM-B.ST = 2, INVE-B.ST = 1, NDA-SE.ST = 2, SAND.ST = 1, SEB-A.ST = 1, SHB-A.ST = 1, SWED-A.ST = 1, TELIA.ST = 28, and VOLV-B.ST = 3. Now I wonder, given the last events as mentioned in AZN good. HEXA very bad. , do I really want to buy more HEXA? Could be that they are a bit underpriced but 18% of the total portfolio this month is still not nothing.  Another matter is the 14% and 28 units of TELIA that my investment strategy supposedly wants me to buy. TELIA who is about -18% down YTD, -42% LTM, and -40% since inception in 2005. If nothing else, I hope it’s a good diversifier.  

AZN good. HEXA very bad.

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Having a minute for an update, one can say that things are going quite stable portfolio-wise. With my three last investment sessions having yielded returns between -0.9% to 1.23%. Looking at the July investments, I’m glad to see that AZN, a newcomer to my portfolio, is doing good. Meanwhile, HEXA has had a dramatic downturn of nearly -20%. 

Summer, sunshine, and finally some PHARMA

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Here follows my July investments, kindly appointed by my favourite ParaTopia investment strategy. Unit-wise, entering the market today includes: ATCO-A.ST = 3, AZN.ST = 1, ERIC-B.ST = 2, HEXA-B.ST = 4, HM-B.ST = 3, INVE-B.ST = 2, NDA-SE.ST = 2, SEB-A.ST = 2, SHB-A.ST = 2, SWED-A.ST = 1, and VOLV-B.ST = 2.  I have always felt personally attracted to the Pharma industry and not less so to Astra Zeneca. Can’t wait to see how this exiting allocation turns out!

Back to another close-cut business

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After a brief but well-deserved vacation (in Greece for those who cares), its time for another performance update on my ParaTopia investments.  As you can see above, following a couple of rather turbulent months, my strategy is finally converting to an almost competitive option compared to the market .  During June, this is much thanks to HM-B.ST and SBB-B.ST. Meanwhile, the heavy investments in ATCO (see A lot of ATCO ) still have some way to go before starting to pay off. 

A lot of ATCO

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ATCO-A.ST = 5, ATCO-B.ST = 3, ERIC-B.ST = 1, HEXA-B.ST = 1, HM-B.ST = 2, INVE-B.ST = 3, NDA-SE.ST = 3, SBB-B.ST = 90 (!?), SEB-A.ST = 1, SHB-A.ST = 2, SWED-A.ST = 2, and VOLV-B.ST = 2. That’s what I’m buying today following my ParaTopia investment strategy.  As illustrated above, nearly 30% of the total portfolio this month is allocated toward either ATCO-A or ATCO-B. Only time will tell whether that’s a good or bad call. 

Performance perspective

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Lately, I have focused a lot on the monthly investments each month and I believe its due time for an update on the actual performance.  Since From platonic to true love (i.e., starting to invest for reals ) I have exhibited a total loss of 277 SEK with a corresponding portfolio return of -1.91% net dividends. No doubt, this is an improvement compared to Three weeks and 544 SEK short but still not very competitive to the market.  The pretty little picture above shows the whole period portfolio performance of my ParaTopia investment strategy (ParaTopia – Long run) compared to the corresponding performance had I invested in the marked (proxied as OMS Stockholm 30 ).  What’s more interesting are the dashed lines (Investments) representing the as of today returns from each monthly investment made in From platonic to true love , And here goes April , and Time to EVOlve .  From the dashed line perspective, my first investment, made in March, seem to be a significant drive...

Time to EVOlve

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So, apparently, for this month my ParaTopia strategy has decided that it’s time to evolve. From being rather financials-heavy and into the gambling industry. As illustrated below, this little sin-city stock is about to make up almost 25% of the total portfolio. Entering the market on Monday, the corresponding units of each stock amount to as follows: ATCO-A.ST = 4, ELUX-B.ST = 3, ESSITY-B.ST = 1, EVO.ST = 1, HEXA-B.ST = 1, HM-B.ST = 1, INVE-B.ST = 1, NDA-SE.ST = 4, SAND.ST = 1, SEB-A.ST = 3, SHB-A.ST = 4, SINCH.ST = 4, SWED-A.ST = 2, VOLV-B.ST = 2. I plan to get back to you with a performance overview soon, don’t worry. But until then take care.  

And here goes April

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 This month’s allocation, following my ParaTopia investments strategy is set out as below. My order is expected to enter that market pronto today, corresponding to the following unites per stock: ATCO-A.ST = 3, BOL.ST = 1, ERIC-B.ST = 2, ESSITY-B.ST = 1, HEXA-B.ST = 2, HM-B.ST = 4, INVE-B.ST = 1, NDA-SE.ST = 2, SAND.ST = 1, SEB-A.ST = 3, SHB-A.ST = 4, SWED-A.ST = 4, VOLV-B.ST = 2. My investments are still quite tilted toward financial stocks, which is questionable given the last weeks results (see  Three weeks and 544 SEK short ) . Anyhow, my strategy have also introduced some newcomers, like HEXA and HM. The thetas of the month amounted to 3.04 for  dolvol  and 0.96 for  momentum . 

Three weeks and 544 SEK short

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As announced in From platonic to true love , I have finally started using real money for investing in my ParaTopia strategy. It therefore also makes sense to start showing you the real outcome of my strategy, which is presented below.   These three weeks paint no pretty picture and its evident that ParaTopia currently underperforms the market (that is OMX 30 and S&P 500).  Moving on to the constituent performance, financial stocks (which also happened to be my largest allocation this month) have taken the biggest hit. 

From platonic to true love

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This month, March 2023, will be the first month when I invest according to my strategy using real money. Yes! I am finally confident enough in my ParaTopia strategy and I’m ready to bet some money on it.  The allocation in %, expected to enter the REAL market tomorrow is displayed below.  Specifically, this corresponds to the following unit-wise allocation for a budget รก 5000 SEK: ASSA-B.ST = 1, ATCO-A.ST = 4, BOL.ST = 1, ERIC-B.ST = 2, ESSITY-B.ST = 1, INVE-B.ST = 1, NDA-SE.ST = 4, SAND.ST = 1, SEB-A.ST = 2, SHB-A.ST = 5, SKF-B.ST = 1, SWED-A.ST = 2, VOLV-B.ST = 3.  There are a lot of financial stocks this time which indeed will be interesting to follow. Also note that I have obtained this allocation using the brand-new investment strategy presented in Devils and details  (i.e., the non-restricted optimization model with standardized weights). The thetas of the month amount to 2.99 for dolvol and 0.96 for momentum .